The Wisdom of Crowds

There are pundits, and then there are prediction markets. And as a general

rule, any prediction market is going to be smarter than any pundit – even

especially when the pundit is a blogger with no real money on the line. This

is me on Wednesday:

You can also short Gore at 48 (48!) to win the Nobel Peace Prize.

No one is ever that much of a lock-in to win this highly unpredictable

award in any given year.

Ahem.

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