Category Archives: foreign exchange

The Yuan that I Want

Jim Rogers has been bullish on China for years, and indeed now has a new book out entitled "A Bull in China: Investing Profitably in the World’s Greatest Market". So it’s hardly surprising that he sees the country’s currency rising. … Continue reading

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The NYT, the Dollar, and the Savings Rate

Back in August, the NYT editorial page displayed its economic ignorance by blaming the weak dollar, inter alia, on a low domestic savings rate. It got slapped down by both Greg Mankiw and Dean Baker: a low savings rate causes … Continue reading

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The Oil Price Denomination Fallacy

Repeat after me: The fact that oil prices are denominated in dollars means… absolutely nothing. Dean Baker has been banging this drum for a few days now, most recently attacking the Washington Post for saying that "since crude oil is … Continue reading

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Loonie Tunes

There’s a lot of buzz in the blogosphere today about the fact that the Canadian dollar this morning finally reached parity with the US dollar. It’s a big deal for those of us who used to think of Canada as … Continue reading

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Paulson Hoist on His Own Petard (Yuan Version)

Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism submits: One of the Treasury Department’s big campaigns has been to put pressure on the Chinese to allow the yuan to float more freely (the Chinese now engage in a dirty float in place of … Continue reading

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Carry Trade Unwinding? It Looks Real This Time

Is the long-dreaded unwinding of the carry trade finally happening?
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Bush and the Dollar

A weak dollar is neither a bad idea nor a good idea: it’s just a fact of life, imposed on the US by the international currency markets.
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Emerging Markets: Yields and Spreads

Alphaville’s Gwen Robinson has gotten
her hands on
some research from CLSA’s Christopher Wood,
who foresees emerging-market debt yields even lower than the yields on US Treasury
bonds.
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Rereading Swiss Profits in Dollar Terms

Weak results in Swiss francs look better in US dollars.
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Playing the Carry Trade

The idea behind the carry
trade
is simple: you take (or borrow) money in a low-yielding country, such
as Japan or Switzerland, and then invest that money in a high-yielding country,
such as Britain, Iceland, or Brazil. This is a strategy which normally works until it doesn’t.
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£1 = $2

Those of us with a vaguely transatlantic bent have been mentally doubling UK
prices (or halving US ones) for some time, but now it’s official: the
British pound is worth more than $2
.
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