Author Archives: Felix

Rupert Murdoch Already Is a Global Statesman

Murdoch is already a global statesman, and he has
been one for decades. In fact, he has been the most powerful press baron in
the world for many years now. Owning the Journal would, at the margin, increase
his influence. But Rupert is not some déclassé billionaire with
more money than clout.
Continue reading

Posted in Media, publishing | Comments Off on Rupert Murdoch Already Is a Global Statesman

Why Do People Care So Much About All-Time Highs?

What’s with this obsession with the high-point of the Nasdaq, back in 2000? The Wall Street Journal is polling economists, asking them when they think the Nasdaq is going to hit a new high – to which the only reasonable … Continue reading

Posted in stocks | Comments Off on Why Do People Care So Much About All-Time Highs?

Beware Performance Chasers

It’s the Michael
Steinhardt cliché-meter
!
Continue reading

Posted in stocks | Comments Off on Beware Performance Chasers

Today in Murdoch: Devilish Deals

Rupert awards Roger Ailes $7,666,666.
Continue reading

Posted in Media | Comments Off on Today in Murdoch: Devilish Deals

JetBlue Ouster: Look at the Shares, Not the Storms

The main job of a CEO is to get the share price rising, and Neeleman managed
that only during 2003. Ever since then, the stock has been either falling or
moving sideways, and that’s more than sufficient reason for the board to replace
him with someone else.
Continue reading

Posted in defenestrations, stocks | Comments Off on JetBlue Ouster: Look at the Shares, Not the Storms

Lord Browne Resigns From Goldman Sachs Board

Lord Browne has now resigned
from the board of Goldman Sachs
. I can’t believe he did so willingly,
either – Goldman seems to be hanging him out to dry.
Continue reading

Posted in defenestrations | Comments Off on Lord Browne Resigns From Goldman Sachs Board

In Defense of Rupert Murdoch

Have Dow Jones journalists really been so beaten down by mismanagement and underinvestment that they can’t recognize an optimist when they see one?
Continue reading

Posted in Media, publishing | Comments Off on In Defense of Rupert Murdoch

US Steps Up Wolfowitz Support

Wolfowitz is sure to go one way or another, so at this point the interests of the US are in making his departure as painless as possible, and maximizing US control over the choice of his successor. Unfortunately, the US seems to be acting in direct opposition to both of those interests right now.
Continue reading

Posted in defenestrations, world bank | Comments Off on US Steps Up Wolfowitz Support

Time For a Fed Statement Overhaul

In the wake of all the Kremlinology spurred by yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting, I’m wondering if it might not be time to revisit the manner in which the Fed releases its statements.
Continue reading

Posted in fiscal and monetary policy | Comments Off on Time For a Fed Statement Overhaul

Remainders

Bits and pieces from around the world.
Continue reading

Posted in remainders | Comments Off on Remainders

Bolivia Exits ICSID, Endangers Global Direct Investment

Bolivia’s leftist president, Evo Morales, has announced that his country is unilaterally
exiting ICSID
. What’s more, other countries in his bloc, including Nicaragua
and Venezuela, are likely to follow suit. This is bad news not only for Telecom Italia, but also for any companies investing abroad.
Continue reading

Posted in geopolitics | Comments Off on Bolivia Exits ICSID, Endangers Global Direct Investment

Realistic Counterfeiting Numbers Emerge

I’ve been waiting over two years for this. Since the end of 2004, I’ve had a close interest in counterfeiting statistics, and eventually I wrote a long piece in June 2005 saying that all counterfeiting statistics are bullshit. Towards the … Continue reading

Posted in statistics | Comments Off on Realistic Counterfeiting Numbers Emerge

No Hedge Fund Regulation from the EU

German finance minister Peer Steinbruck is quoted as saying that “the regulatory approach is the wrong one”.
Continue reading

Posted in hedge funds | Comments Off on No Hedge Fund Regulation from the EU

Clinton Stands Up to US Patent Bullies

If the next president of the World Bank is once again to be an American, George W Bush could do no better than to nominate his predecessor, Bill Clinton, to the job. Clinton’s bold Aids-drug initiative is one reason why.
Continue reading

Posted in development, intellectual property | Comments Off on Clinton Stands Up to US Patent Bullies

This is a Bull Market, Not a Bubble

What we’re in right now is a bull market, not a bubble. And although both bull markets and bubbles do come to an end, the chances of a disastrous crash are much lower in the former case than in the latter.
Continue reading

Posted in economics | Comments Off on This is a Bull Market, Not a Bubble

Taxing the Tax-Exempt

It doesn’t make any sense to single out “debt-financed investing” for taxation in these days of extreme financial sophistication and embedded leverage.
Continue reading

Posted in hedge funds, taxes | Comments Off on Taxing the Tax-Exempt

Kemal Dervis for World Bank President!

Dervis would be great for many reasons, not least because he would be the first president of the World Bank not to be a US citizen.
Continue reading

Posted in world bank | Comments Off on Kemal Dervis for World Bank President!

Do Stock Prices Reflect Economic Reality?

It’s always possible to find an argument why stocks should be rising, and it’s always possible to find an argument why stocks should be falling. I’ll go with whichever argument accords with what the stock market is actually doing at the time.
Continue reading

Posted in economics, stocks | Comments Off on Do Stock Prices Reflect Economic Reality?

Zipcar insurance, part 3

A couple of months ago, I spoke to three Zipcar executives about the Zipcar insurance situation. I reported then: Zipcar told me that they’re going to make it much clearer on their website that their liability coverage is pretty weak; … Continue reading

Posted in Not economics | 38 Comments

Citi’s $50 Billion Climate Pledge: Less Than Meets the Eye?

Citi has pledged to do things to help the environment. But it hasn’t pledged not to harm the environment even more.
Continue reading

Posted in banking, climate change | Comments Off on Citi’s $50 Billion Climate Pledge: Less Than Meets the Eye?

Thomson-Reuters: Fierce Competitor, or Cozy Duopolist?

The big question is whether Thomson-Reuters will be a fierce competitor to Bloomberg, or whether the two companies will settle down into a relatively cozy duopoly, with every incentive to raise prices and little incentive to cut them.
Continue reading

Posted in Media | Comments Off on Thomson-Reuters: Fierce Competitor, or Cozy Duopolist?

Larry Summers vs Martin Wolf on Russia

Summers seems to be incapable of admitting that US policy towards Russia in the aftermath of the Cold War was actually disastrous.
Continue reading

Posted in economics | Comments Off on Larry Summers vs Martin Wolf on Russia

Bloomberg vs Spitzer?

Mike Bloomberg
is splashed all over the front page of the New York Post today, saying he’s
interested in running
for governor
of New York when his tenure as mayor of New York City runs
out at the end of 2009.
Continue reading

Posted in Politics | Comments Off on Bloomberg vs Spitzer?

Rupert Murdoch: White Knight, or Dark Destroyer?

There’s a good rule of thumb in any takeover battle, when looking at the target
company: if the company’s competitors oppose the deal, it’s probably a good
deal. Let me add another: if the company’s present owners start falling back
onto soaring rhetoric in defense of the status quo, it’s probably a good deal.
Continue reading

Posted in Media, publishing | Comments Off on Rupert Murdoch: White Knight, or Dark Destroyer?

Markets: Efficient, More or Less

Even if markets aren’t efficient, you’re not going to be able to profit from it.
Continue reading

Posted in stocks | Comments Off on Markets: Efficient, More or Less