Counterfeiting Statistic of the Week

Have you noticed something weird happening in the olive oil aisle of your local

supermarket? Over the past few years, has the proportion of oil graded "extra

virgin" gone up substantially, even as the price of that oil has come down

substantially? It certainly feels that way to me, and a quick trip to Amazon

turns up one

gallon of cold pressed Italian extra virgin olive oil selling for $19.99,

or $5.28 per liter.

Enter Tom Mueller of the New Yorker, who in one of those classic

New Yorker stories uncovers the

shady world of fake olive oil. Not only is Tunisian olive oil being sold

as Italian, it seems, but even soy-bean oil and hazelnut oil have been pressed

into service, so to speak, and passed off as extra virgin olive oil.

I do love this story, but being a counterfeiting statistics monomaniac, I also

have to take Mueller to task for this:

In February, 2005, the N.A.S. Carabinieri broke up a criminal ring operating

in several regions of Italy, and confiscated a hundred thousand litres of

fake olive oil, with a street value of six million euros (about eight million

dollars).

The "street value" of this stuff, it seems, was 60 euros a liter,

or $82.60 at current exchange rates. Every wine retailing for less than $60

a bottle is cheaper than that. It certainly seems that the value of the seized

olive oil was exaggerated, quite literally, by an entire order of magnitude.

Which is, I’m sad to say, more or less par for the course when it comes to

counterfeiting statistics.

This entry was posted in statistics. Bookmark the permalink.