Category Archives: insurance

Can Municipalities Wrap Themselves?

The Prince of Wall Street has an intriguing idea: why can’t municipalities set up their own monoline? Why do we not see the big issuers of municipal bonds i.e. the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, the State … Continue reading

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One Question for John Carney

I don’t want to drag this debate over municipal bonds on too long: I’ve pretty much said my piece. But I would like to ask John Carney just one question. Today, he says this: Investors in municipal bonds are interested … Continue reading

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Municipal Bonds: Eisinger’s Response to Carney

Jesse Eisinger is of course eternally grateful for my defense of his article against the imprecations of John Carney. But he has more to add: I’m grateful that John took some time out from reporting on the toilet situation at … Continue reading

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Letter Writer of the Day: Jay Brown

I think I’m falling a little for Jay Brown, now on his second tour of duty as MBIA CEO. From his letter to shareholders: As the leading monoline, we are also a convenient and attractive target for self-interested parties such … Continue reading

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Monolines: S&P to the Rescue

Now that S&P has affirmed the triple-A ratings on both MBIA and Ambac, Bill Ackman et al are going to have to start playing the long game. With their triple-As seemingly firmly in hand for the time being, any implosion … Continue reading

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Monolines: Ackman’s Latest Plan

Has anybody not seen Bill Ackman’s latest plan for what should happen to the monolines? It’s been doing the email rounds for a couple of days now, but finally it’s hit the web: if you want to download the full … Continue reading

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The End of the Monolines

It looks like the end of the monolines to me. FGIC has already said it’s splitting – something which, legally, is fraught at best. Ambac is trying to raise $2 billion in new equity before, yes, splitting. And now MBIA … Continue reading

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Monolines: The Spitzer Debate

Eliot Spitzer, having fought and won his battle with investment banks when he was New York’s attorney general, has now set his sights on the monolines. There are two diametrically opposed ways of looking at what’s going on, which is … Continue reading

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MBIA Fires Back at Ackman

As Congress holds hearings on bond insurers, it’s worth reading MBIA’s official response to Bill Ackman. There’s nothing in there about “the unscrupulous and dangerous market manipulation of short-sellers,” as Herb Greenberg feared. Rather, it’s a pretty sober analysis, which … Continue reading

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The Muni Insurance Racket

In the March issue of Portfolio, Jesse Eisinger says that the municipal bond-insurance business is a racket. Back in December I noted that US municipalities pay $2 billion a year to the monolines for the dubious privilege of receiving a … Continue reading

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Buffett’s Offer Won’t Save the Monolines

Warren Buffett: A mensch with a triple-A rating. Just as the monoline bond insurers are melting down, he offers to ride to the rescue – for an undisclosed fee, of course – and reinsure their liabilities, solving their problems at … Continue reading

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The Future of the Monolines

Andrew Clavell has a really good blog entry on the monolines today, even as MBIA somehow managed to sell $700 million in new equity in the public markets, over and above the $300 million it sold to Warburg Pincus. (Which … Continue reading

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Monoline Tsunami Aimed at European Banks

If you skim over headlines in your RSS reader, it’s easy to miss this one: "Ackermann warns of monoline ‘tsunami’". Ackman is bearish on monolines? Wake me up when you have something new to – oh. It’s not Bill Ackman … Continue reading

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Monolines: Resigned to Downgrades

The WSJ puts an uncommonly-forthright forward-looking headline on its monoline story today: "Rescue Plans Won’t Prevent Downgrades". And it’s right. If the monolines’ plans for shoring up their capital bases come to fruition, they’re still likely to suffer the loss … Continue reading

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The Unusual Suspects

It’s like something out of a movie: a bunch of misfits with nothing much in common are thrown together in an attempt to pull off a massive heist – or acquisition of a monoline insurance company, at least. According to … Continue reading

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MBIA: Triumph of the Techocrats?

In the battle of Bill Ackman vs MBIA, the market seems to be speaking quite clearly: MBIA is winning, if only by sheer force of boredom. Ackman’s manifesto might be forcefully written, but MBIA’s stock has soared from an opening … Continue reading

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Mortgage Insurers: The Next Shoe to Drop?

At the end of 2007, mortgage insurer MGIC had $212 billion of insurance in force. And it’s not performing well: in the fourth quarter alone its claims reached $1.3 billion. The value of the entire company, according to the stock … Continue reading

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How Regulators Failed the Monolines

I have a feeling it’s going to be Monoline Day today. MBIA’s conference call at 11am should be interesting, even though the company has said it’s not going to take any live questions from analysts. Until then, the quote of … Continue reading

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MBIA: Waiting for the Inevitable Downgrade

How is it possible that MBIA lost $2.3 billion in the fourth quarter in the wake of a monster $3.5 billion charge? Didn’t Jonathan Laing just tell us, in Barron’s, that its losses could never get so big so fast? … Continue reading

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MBIA: The Longs Fight Back

Have you read anything positive about MBIA recently? The short-sellers – principally Bill Ackman, of course, but also Whitney Tilson – have been dominating the conversation, and since they’ve also been making a huge amount of money one can understand … Continue reading

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MBIA and Ambac Fight for Their Lives

Colin Barr: On Friday, analysts at Citi and Bank of America downgraded MBIA and Ambac shares – to hold from buy. Skeptics might note that the move comes with Ambac stock down 94 percent over the past year and MBIA … Continue reading

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Warren Buffett, Bond Insurer

I’m fascinated by the news that Warren Buffett is starting up a new bond insurer. On the one hand, it makes perfect sense: he’s an expert in insurance, he already has a triple-A credit rating, and his competitors in the … Continue reading

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How Coventry First Threatens Life Insurance’s Tax Exemption

Today’s WSJ has a very good article on the fast-growing secondary market in life insurance policies, centering on the asset class’s undisputed leader, Coventry. It mentions that this market is objected to by the life insurance industry: Life settlements also … Continue reading

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Mark-to-Market vs Mark-to-Model in the Insurance Industry

When insurance companies have been in their business for decades or longer, while the open market in such things is very young, does it really make sense for insurance companies to use market valuations rather than their in-house models?
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