Over at InTrade, Hillary Clinton is tanking. Her chances of winning Ohio were 65% yesterday; that contract last traded at 47.5%. Meanwhile, her chances in Texas have plunged from 48% yesterday to just 30% now.
The last time we saw price movement like this, of course, it was in New Hampshire, where Clinton ended up winning. And I suspect there’s more noise than there is signal in today’s price movements. But the expectations game is clearly changing: a few days ago, winning Texas was a baseline scenario for Clinton. Now, winning it will give her positive momentum.